Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.225080 11.318510 12.492088 13.847418 15.372048 17.036995 18.996720
2025-09-21 8.313129 9.765147 11.431754 13.494310 15.989479 18.924321 22.658127
2025-09-28 7.028365 8.684722 10.698660 13.346163 16.762180 21.058109 26.927719
2025-10-05 6.293507 8.137135 10.498265 13.778246 18.270813 24.287498 33.088898
2025-10-12 5.693138 7.662209 10.303431 14.159824 19.738329 27.657967 40.012196
2025-10-19 5.109343 7.122003 9.933813 14.225191 20.745542 30.507446 46.668260
2025-10-26 4.576161 6.579156 9.480208 14.086852 21.404317 32.905386 53.024870
2025-11-02 4.118952 6.088311 9.034800 13.885263 21.910717 35.106175 59.416755
2025-11-09 3.726481 5.648103 8.609265 13.647482 22.303733 37.147825 65.866647
2025-11-16 3.405993 5.283528 8.257122 13.475221 22.765009 39.346493 72.973847
2025-11-23 3.146841 4.988981 7.982800 13.392647 23.356832 41.842560 81.093997
2025-11-30 2.987775 4.841212 7.932544 13.686780 24.659143 45.840507 93.016821
2025-12-07 2.769762 4.578360 7.667593 13.577747 25.217114 48.540447 102.898341
2025-12-14 2.548306 4.289601 7.329374 13.293544 25.396032 50.507963 111.595633
2025-12-21 2.376635 4.072862 7.098322 13.185067 25.911282 53.261545 122.758492
2025-12-28 2.296963 4.014027 7.149684 13.634918 27.652226 58.985766 142.631170
2026-01-04 2.215543 3.944049 7.172046 14.026997 29.324884 64.852398 164.403375
2026-01-11 2.103304 3.805932 7.049282 14.100930 30.295811 69.228466 183.263487
2026-01-18 1.978568 3.633251 6.842172 13.969581 30.772700 72.471002 199.736425
2026-01-25 1.858270 3.459513 6.617244 13.773285 31.066974 75.300584 215.751048
2026-02-01 1.744784 3.290461 6.387146 13.539716 31.237693 77.837481 231.573668
2026-02-08 1.646819 3.145265 6.194268 13.370229 31.546459 80.811169 249.725582
2026-02-15 1.564556 3.026017 6.046140 13.289135 32.072568 84.498715 271.479298